Small-Cap Correlation and Options Review

Review of adaptive small-cap strategies against existing AlphaVault/QSD sleeves, market factors, and OPRA option-chain liquidity. This is research only; no orders were submitted.

Best ValueLow Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R5
Best Eval SharpeSeed Acceleration With Anchors V2 R5
Lowest QSD Corr0.31
Optionable Names14/14
Best current trade-off is Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R5: stable 6M/1Y behavior, low turnover, low correlation, and good optionability through FSLR/CLSK/ENPH/ASTS plus moderate HIVE liquidity.

Value Ranking

Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R5

Score 1.09
1.47
1.43
1.55
0.31
HIVE22.00%FSLR22.00%CLSK22.00%ENPH16.53%SHY10.00%ASTS7.47%

Hybrid Adaptive Smallcap V2 R5

Score 1.07
1.53
1.37
1.59
0.40
HIVE20.24%FSLR18.00%ASTS11.60%CLSK8.56%ENPH7.19%RGTI7.00%QS6.61%QQQ5.98%IONQ5.85%TDOC4.71%SHY4.25%

Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R2

Score 0.99
1.06
1.47
1.65
0.32
CLSK22.00%FSLR22.00%HIVE22.00%ENPH18.61%SHY10.00%ASTS5.39%

Seed Acceleration With Anchors V2 R5

Score 0.88
1.24
1.55
1.69
0.34
RGTI20.00%HIVE20.00%QS18.90%FSLR10.58%CLSK8.75%ENPH8.74%ASTS8.03%SHY5.00%

Correlation Difference

Lower is better for portfolio diversification. These strategies are materially less correlated to the existing AI hedged and QSD power sleeves than the earlier blend strategies.

StrategyMax QSD CorrMax Market CorrAI HedgedQSD PowerIWM
Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R50.310.180.310.250.18
Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R20.320.170.320.250.17
Seed Acceleration With Anchors V2 R50.340.260.340.300.26
Hybrid Adaptive Smallcap V2 R50.400.280.400.340.28

Latest Exposure Difference

StrategySeed WeightAnchor WeightLatest Positions
Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R5+22.0%+78.0%HIVE22.00%FSLR22.00%CLSK22.00%ENPH16.53%SHY10.00%ASTS7.47%
Hybrid Adaptive Smallcap V2 R5+33.9%+66.1%HIVE20.24%FSLR18.00%ASTS11.60%CLSK8.56%ENPH7.19%RGTI7.00%QS6.61%QQQ5.98%IONQ5.85%TDOC4.71%SHY4.25%
Low Turnover Leader Rotation V2 R2+22.0%+78.0%CLSK22.00%FSLR22.00%HIVE22.00%ENPH18.61%SHY10.00%ASTS5.39%
Seed Acceleration With Anchors V2 R5+58.9%+41.1%RGTI20.00%HIVE20.00%QS18.90%FSLR10.58%CLSK8.75%ENPH8.74%ASTS8.03%SHY5.00%

Options Viability

Score uses current OPRA chain depth and quoted near-term contracts. It does not prove fills will be good, but it filters out names where option overlays are obviously weak.

UnderlyingScoreLiquid-ish ContractsBest Near Quotes
ASTS$113.36 3/3 401 ASTS260717C00120000 46d C 120.017.6/17.7 spr 0.6%ASTS260717P00150000 46d P 150.045.3/46.05 spr 1.6%
FSLR$306.75 3/3 256 FSLR260717P00410000 46d P 410.0106.45/109.45 spr 2.8%FSLR260717P00400000 46d P 400.097.7/100.5 spr 2.8%
NOW$124.48 3/3 234 NOW260717C00110000 46d C 110.019.8/20.0 spr 1.0%NOW260717P00135000 46d P 135.017.5/17.7 spr 1.1%
ENPH$68.40 3/3 169 ENPH260717P00080000 46d P 80.016.85/17.6 spr 4.4%ENPH260717P00070000 46d P 70.010.05/10.5 spr 4.4%
SOFI$18.23 3/3 168 SOFI260717C00019000 46d C 19.01.27/1.28 spr 0.8%SOFI260618C00016000 17d C 16.02.48/2.5 spr 0.8%
IONQ$72.07 3/3 161 IONQ260717C00070000 46d C 70.011.45/11.75 spr 2.6%IONQ260717C00080000 46d C 80.07.8/8.1 spr 3.8%
AFRM$73.69 3/3 154 AFRM260717C00075000 46d C 75.05.95/6.1 spr 2.5%AFRM260618C00070000 17d C 70.06.1/6.35 spr 4.0%
RGTI$25.54 3/3 141 RGTI260717C00030000 46d C 30.02.65/2.7 spr 1.9%RGTI260717C00020000 46d C 20.06.9/7.1 spr 2.9%
HIMS$26.16 3/3 111 HIMS260717C00030000 46d C 30.01.8/1.85 spr 2.7%HIMS260618C00028000 17d C 28.01.28/1.32 spr 3.1%
CLSK$18.28 3/3 82 CLSK260717C00018000 46d C 18.02.63/2.69 spr 2.3%CLSK260618C00018000 17d C 18.01.72/1.78 spr 3.4%
EOSE$8.44 3/3 60 EOSE260717P00010000 46d P 10.02.33/2.38 spr 2.1%EOSE260717P00007000 46d P 7.00.62/0.66 spr 6.3%
QS$8.98 3/3 55 QS260717P00009000 46d P 9.01.15/1.22 spr 5.9%QS260618C00009000 17d C 9.00.78/0.83 spr 6.2%
HIVE$4.51 2/3 17 HIVE260717C00004000 46d C 4.01.1/1.15 spr 4.4%HIVE260717C00005000 46d C 5.00.75/0.8 spr 6.5%
TDOC$7.61 2/3 16 TDOC260717P00009000 46d P 9.01.58/1.7 spr 7.3%TDOC260618C00007000 17d C 7.00.8/0.9 spr 11.8%

Options Strategy Read

Most practical: call spreads or stock-replacement call spreads on liquid, high-conviction signals; covered calls only for cheaper names where 100-share lots fit the account size. For a $5k sleeve, FSLR/NOW/ASTS covered calls are too large, while HIVE/RGTI/QS/SOFI/HIMS/CLSK are more feasible.

Avoid as default: naked long calls on the whole basket. The implied-volatility premium can erase the signal unless the model is very good at timing explosive moves. For this universe, defined-risk verticals or collars are a better first paper experiment.